CICC: The non-agricultural data in November supported the Fed to continue to cut interest rates. The CICC research report pointed out that after being seriously hindered by hurricanes and strikes, the number of new jobs in the United States rose sharply to 227,000 in November, but the unemployment rate also rose to 4.2%, indicating that the labor market is slowing down. On the whole, the labor market is still in a state of "the momentum of employment growth is weakening, but the job market itself is not weak", which will provide reasons for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in December. However, we also predict that the Fed will slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, because as interest rates approach the neutral level, policymakers will become more cautious. One prediction risk is the impact of Trump's immigration policy on the labor market. At present, we tend to have a moderate impact, but we also need to pay close attention to the possibility of extreme situations. Based on non-agricultural data, we believe that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points again this month.Many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea. "Is it safe to travel to South Korea?" On the 9th, travelnoire, a platform focusing on African tourists, raised such a question. According to the report, the recent political events in South Korea have cast a shadow over this popular tourist destination. In fact, as the emergency martial law storm in South Korea continues to ferment, many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea. South Korea's "Asian Economy" reported on the 9th that the political and social uncertainty in South Korea has further intensified, and the inbound tourism market in South Korea, which has just resumed after the epidemic, is once again facing severe challenges. South Korea's New Zealand News Agency reported that due to the increasing political uncertainty in South Korea, many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea.Bruker sprinted for the IPO of Hong Kong stocks, Bruker Group Co., Ltd. updated its prospectus and tried to list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the second time. The co-sponsors are Goldman Sachs (Asia) Securities and Huatai Financial Holdings. According to Jost Sullivan's report, Bruker's market share in China's patchwork role toy market and China's patchwork toy market is 30.3% and 7.4% respectively. Bruker's toy products are mainly divided into two categories: "assembling role toys" and "building block toys", and the prices of mainstream products range from 19.9 yuan to 399 yuan. Most of Bruco's revenue comes from the sales of products based on Altman IP, accounting for 63.5% and 57.4% of its revenue in 2023 and the first half of 2024 respectively.
Japan's Minister of Economic Regeneration Ryosuka Akazawa: (When asked about the revised GDP data in the third quarter) Although we have not got rid of deflation, a virtuous circle of wage increase and price transmission has begun.25 shares were rated by brokers, and Ziguang Guowei's target rose by 48.59%. On December 9, a total of 25 stocks were rated by brokers, and 5 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Ziguang Guowei, Shaanxi Coal Industry and Zhongju High-tech are among the top gainers, with gains of 48.59%, 39.54% and 33.95% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 18 stocks remain unchanged and 7 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, two stocks have attracted the attention of many brokers, among which Zhongju Hi-tech and Shaanxi Coal were ranked in the top number, with three and two brokers giving ratings respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the buy-rated stocks belong, the number of buy-rated stocks in technical hardware and equipment, semiconductor and semiconductor production equipment, food, beverage and tobacco is the largest, with 6, 4 and 4 respectively.Zheshang Securities: A-shares may benefit from the rising style of risk appetite, which is more inclined to small-cap growth. Zheshang Securities Research Report pointed out that the current inflation level is in the early stage of bottoming out, and there is a lot of flexibility for the recovery of effective demand. It is expected that monetary policy will still have a total easing space such as RRR cuts and interest rate cuts. In terms of large-scale assets, A-shares may benefit from rising risk appetite, and their styles are more inclined to small-cap growth, and the valuation of technology stocks may be relatively flexible. It is recommended to pay attention to high-elastic sectors such as GEM, Kechuang 50 and Beizheng 50. In the field of fixed income, the current risk-free interest rate level has gradually approached the new equilibrium level. It is expected that the yield of the next 10-year government bonds will generally fluctuate, and the long-term interest rate is less likely to have upward risks. The credit spread is expected to narrow, and the urban investment bonds in the qualified areas will sink in a short period of time or the main allocation direction.
A 26-year-old man who was involved in the murder of insurance giant CEO new york was charged with five counts in a Pennsylvania court. Luigi Mangione, who was regarded by the police as a person involved in the murder of Brian Thompson, an executive of UnitedHealth Group Inc, was arrested in Pennsylvania on Monday, and now he is accused of possessing illegal firearms and using false identification. According to the criminal indictment issued by the Pennsylvania court system on Monday night, Mangione, 26, appeared in court for the first time in Hollidaysburg. He was charged with five counts, including forgery, holding a gun without a license and showing false documents to law enforcement agencies. Mangione was detained by the police after being recognized by employees in a McDonald's restaurant in Altoona on Monday morning.Qingdao Yurun International Plaza failed again, and the starting price dropped from 1.2 billion yuan to 219 million yuan. On December 9, according to the information disclosed by Ali Assets Auction Network, the "Yurun International Plaza" project (HD0606-003 plot) in the core area of Qingdao High-tech Zone failed again, and the starting price dropped to 219 million yuan, and no one signed up. On July 4, 2022, the project was put on the market for the first time. At that time, the reserve price was 1.2 billion yuan. The project was developed by Qingdao Dihua Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., located in the core area of Central Intelligence Island. It was originally planned to invest 6 billion yuan to build a commercial complex integrating technology and finance Center and five-star hotels.The yen fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since November 29th, at 151.55.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13